St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Sun, Jul 26, 2026 08:30 AM AI Verdict Home Win — 57% probability ★★★★★ A. Harris (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture H. Ojediran (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture R. Holding (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Decisive · Updated: Sun, Jul 26, 2026 08:30 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Home Win (57% probability) Home Win: 57% Draw: 19% Away Win: 25% Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Decisive (91%) Clear separation between top 2 outcomes Prediction Evolution (16 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 1% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 1% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home -0.1%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% (Δ Home +40.1%, Draw +24.3%, Away +34.6%) 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 41% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% 18:56 — Home 40% / Draw 25% / Away 35% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 A. Harris (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed 🩹 H. Ojediran (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed 🩹 R. Holding (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 C. Wallem (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Orozco (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 S. Jeong (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Atencio (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed 🩹 S. Cordova (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 Celio Pompeu (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 R. Burki (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 Z. Steffen (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 T. Ku-DiPietro (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] Frequently Asked Questions Why is Home Win the clear favorite? The AI model assigns 57% probability to Home Win, indicating strong confidence based on historical data, ELO ratings, and recent form analysis. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? A. Harris (Colorado Rapids) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Decisive, 91%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. A clear gap between the top two outcomes gives the model high conviction in its ranking. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.