St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Sun, Aug 2, 2026 08:30 AM AI Verdict Away Win — 49% probability ★★★☆☆ J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture J. J. Arias (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture C. Wallem (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Decisive · Updated: Sun, Aug 2, 2026 08:30 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Away Win (30% probability) Home Win: 30% Draw: 21% Away Win: 49% Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Decisive (55%) Clear separation between top 2 outcomes Prediction Evolution (16 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home +0.2%, Away -0.2%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% (Δ Home +36.2%, Draw +25.4%, Away +37.3%) 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% 18:56 — Home 37% / Draw 26% / Away 38% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 J. J. Arias (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 C. Wallem (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Orozco (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 S. Jeong (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 A. Piol (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 S. Cordova (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 Celio Pompeu (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 R. Burki (St. Louis City) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 E. Eneli (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 J. Barea (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] Frequently Asked Questions Is Away Win really likely to win? Away Win has a 49% edge — the model sees a slight advantage but recognizes the matchup is competitive. Draw (21%) and the other outcome are both realistic possibilities. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Decisive, 55%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. A clear gap between the top two outcomes gives the model high conviction in its ranking. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.