Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Sun, Aug 16, 2026 07:30 AM AI Verdict Away Win — 48% probability ★★★☆☆ E. Latte Lath (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture M. Almiron (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture C. Harper (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Moderate · Updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026 07:30 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Away Win (32% probability) Home Win: 32% Draw: 20% Away Win: 48% Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Moderate (47%) Marginal separation — outcomes are close Prediction Evolution (14 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home +0.1%, Away -0.1%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home -0.1%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% (Δ Home +36.0%, Draw +26.3%, Away +36.6%) 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% 18:56 — Home 36% / Draw 27% / Away 37% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 E. Latte Lath (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed 🩹 M. Almiron (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 C. Harper (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 A. Marcucci (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 M. Dos Santos (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 E. M. Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 F. Picault (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 M. Galarza (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 S. Alzate (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] Frequently Asked Questions Is Away Win really likely to win? Away Win has a 48% edge — the model sees a slight advantage but recognizes the matchup is competitive. Draw (20%) and the other outcome are both realistic possibilities. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? E. Latte Lath (Atlanta United FC) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Moderate, 47%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. The outcomes are somewhat close — the ranking is directionally reliable but not definitive. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.