Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Sun, Jul 26, 2026 10:30 AM AI Verdict Away Win — 42% probability ★☆☆☆☆ J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture J. J. Arias (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture A. Piol (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Uncertain · Updated: Sun, Jul 26, 2026 10:30 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Away Win (40% probability) Home Win: 40% Draw: 19% Away Win: 42% Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Uncertain (5%) Very close race — model is uncertain about the ranking Prediction Evolution (14 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% (Δ Home +41.9%, Draw +24.5%, Away +32.6%) 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% 18:56 — Home 42% / Draw 25% / Away 33% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 J. J. Arias (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 A. Piol (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 Z. McGraw (Portland Timbers) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 E. Eneli (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 J. Barea (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 O. Fernandez (Portland Timbers) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 D. Chara (Portland Timbers) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Caicedo (Portland Timbers) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] Frequently Asked Questions Is Away Win really likely to win? Away Win has a 42% edge — the model sees a slight advantage but recognizes the matchup is competitive. Draw (19%) and the other outcome are both realistic possibilities. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? J. Glad (Real Salt Lake) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Uncertain, 5%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. This is a toss-up — the model struggles to separate the outcomes confidently. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.