Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Sun, Aug 16, 2026 07:30 AM AI Verdict Home Win — 44% probability ★☆☆☆☆ B. Raines (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture R. Laryea (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Uncertain · Updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026 07:30 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Home Win (44% probability) Home Win: 44% Draw: 18% Away Win: 38% Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Uncertain (16%) Very close race — model is uncertain about the ranking Prediction Evolution (14 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% (Δ Home +42.5%, Draw +26.4%, Away +30.1%) 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% 18:56 — Home 43% / Draw 27% / Away 30% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 B. Raines (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 R. Laryea (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 B. Kuscevic (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 I. Feingold (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 J. Da (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 L. Campana (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 D. Kerr (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 M. Cimermancic (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Cifuentes (Toronto FC) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] Frequently Asked Questions Is Home Win really likely to win? Home Win has a 44% edge — the model sees a slight advantage but recognizes the matchup is competitive. Draw (18%) and the other outcome are both realistic possibilities. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? B. Raines (New England Revolution) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Uncertain, 16%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. This is a toss-up — the model struggles to separate the outcomes confidently. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.