Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS Sat, Jul 25, 2026 01:00 AM AI Verdict Home Win — 41% probability ★☆☆☆☆ A. Fagerstrom (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture J. Tagesson (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture M. Nilsson (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture Confidence: Uncertain · Updated: Sat, Jul 25, 2026 01:00 AM AI Prediction Predicted outcome: Home Win (41% probability) Home Win: 41% Draw: 20% Away Win: 39% Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%) Model Confidence Confidence Rating: Uncertain (6%) Very close race — model is uncertain about the ranking Prediction Evolution (14 snapshots) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 17:10 — Home 1% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home +0.3%, Away -0.2%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% (Δ Home -0.2%, Draw +0.1%) 17:10 — Home 0% / Draw 0% / Away 0% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% (Δ Home +44.2%, Draw +27.7%, Away +27.0%) 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% 18:56 — Home 45% / Draw 28% / Away 27% Advanced Details Match Signals 🩹 A. Fagerstrom (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed 🩹 J. Tagesson (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 M. Nilsson (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 C. Vindehall (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 A. Boudah (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 J. Tibbling (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 R. Alm (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 A. Abukar (Orgryte IS) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home +1%, Away -1%] 🩹 I. Lushaku (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] 🩹 M. Diallo (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture ✅ confirmed [Impact: Home -1%, Away +1%] Frequently Asked Questions Is Home Win really likely to win? Home Win has a 41% edge — the model sees a slight advantage but recognizes the matchup is competitive. Draw (20%) and the other outcome are both realistic possibilities. What is the biggest factor affecting this prediction? A. Fagerstrom (Vasteras SK FK) — Minor Missing Fixture How confident is the model in this ranking (Uncertain, 6%)? Model Confidence measures how certain the AI is about the order of outcomes, not any single probability. This is a toss-up — the model struggles to separate the outcomes confidently. How does the AI prediction model work? Our ensemble combines Gradient Boosting and Random Forest models trained on historical match data, ELO team ratings, recent form, and statistical metrics. Score distributions use Poisson-based simulations for the most likely scorelines.