← Back to Home

📊 PnL Backtest

What if a bettor followed FootballMoney's top-1 pick across every tracked market? This page backtests five staking strategies on the full evaluation history, tracking a configurable starting bankroll over time. All markets use the model's top-1 pick + actual market odds.

Strategy Simulator

Markets (multi-select)
V0.9 backfilled ~70K hindsight rows covering 2019-05 to 2026-05. These count historical match coverage but predate live tracking — toggle off to include them.
Window:
$0.00
Final Bankroll
$0.00
Total PnL
0.0%
ROI
0%
Win Rate
0
Total Bets
0%
Max Drawdown

Equity Curve

Bankroll Starting Bankroll Peak

By Market

By League (top 8)

Market × Strategy Heatmap

ROI per (market, strategy) pair. Green = profitable, red = losing, gray = no bets. Use to spot which strategies work best in each market — e.g. Kelly excels at high-edge 1X2 but may over-stake on volatile CRS.

Loading…

Multi-Strategy Comparison

Run the same backtest under 5 different staking strategies. Same picks, same markets, different stake size. Kelly usually wins long-term because it scales bet size with edge.

Loading...
Watched Addresses (Polymarket · 26)

Reference snapshot from 26 watched Polymarket addresses. These are observed positions, not simulation output. Source: polymarket_user_positions latest snapshot. Data refreshes on each backtest run.

Loading...